Friday, July 22, 2011

Beyond the Chinese Monroe doctrine


Beyond the Chinese Monroe doctrine




The escalating regional tensions over territorial disputes in the South China Sea (SCS) have revived two crucial questions facing Asia’s strategic future: whether China is pursuing a ‘Monroe Doctrine’ over its neighbourhood, including the SCS area; and how far China’s neighbours can go in acquiescing to its rising power.

The Monroe Doctrine was first enunciated in 1823 by then-US President James Monroe as the policy of a rising US forbidding European powers to either colonise or interfere in the affairs of states in the Western Hemisphere. The essence of the Monroe Doctrine was to deny the Latin American and Caribbean region to European powers, and establish US regional hegemony.
Some see parallels between that policy and China’s rise today. The SCS is China’s backyard and, like 19th century-America, China is a rising power.
In his 2001 book, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, John Mearsheimer argued: ‘A wealthy China would not be a status quo power but an aggressive state determined to achieve regional hegemony’. Chinese military modernisation appears to be headed exactly in such a direction, developing what military analysts term ‘anti-access, area denial’ capability. In March 2010, the Commander of the US Pacific Command, Admiral Robert Willard, warned: ‘China’s rapid and comprehensive transformation of its armed forces … challenge our freedom of action in the region,’ and ‘potentially infringe on their [US allies’] freedom of action’.
Evidence of a Chinese Monroe Doctrine can be seen from its recent actions in the SCS, as reported in recent East Asia Forum articles. But there are major differences between the two historical contexts which make the Monroe Doctrine parallel less than apt.
First, in early 19th century, there was no countervailing force, whether another regional power or an offshore balancer, available to block US regional hegemony over its backyard. The rivalry between Britain and France constrained America in the Western Hemisphere.
China today not only faces the US — an offshore, although some say a ‘resident’, balancer — but also regional balancers such as India, Japan and Russia, should it seek regional hegemony.
Second, the Monroe Doctrine came at a time of historic shift in US economic development. From December 1807 to March 1809, Congress imposed a near-total embargo on US international commerce, a policy that, along with the 1812 US–British war, helped the development of US domestic industry and lowered overall US international economic interdependence. In this climate of reduced dependence on foreign trade, US policymakers did not need to worry about damage to its economic interests if European powers cut off their trade routes to the US.
Compare this to the interdependent global economic order of today, which China depends on. According to a recent report in China Daily, over 60 per cent of China’s GDP now depends on foreign trade. Imported oil accounts for 50 per cent of its oil needs. China’s commerce, and hence prosperity, depends very much on access to sea lanes through the Indian Ocean, the Malacca Straits and other areas over which it has little control, and which are dominated by US naval power. India too has significant naval power in the Indian Ocean.
So if push comes to shove, an aggressive Chinese denial of SCS trade routes to world powers, and the resulting disruption of maritime traffic, would be immensely self-injurious to China. It would provoke countermeasures that will put in peril China’s own access to critical sea lanes in the Indian Ocean and elsewhere.
Chinese leaders are not oblivious to this fact. The truth is that they may not have the option of pursuing an aggressive posture. The costs will simply be too high.
Beijing has repeatedly assured the international community that it does not intend to impede freedom of navigation in the SCS or resolve disputes with force. What Beijing has not clarified is how it might reconcile this with its policy of assertiveness — imposing fishing bans and forbidding oil explorations by other claimants who do not recognise China’s maximalist territorial claims in the area.
This leads us to the second question: how far will China’s neighbours go in accommodating its status as a rising power? In a 2004 article for International Security, I argued that China’s then much-talked-about ‘charm offensive’ will quickly unravel if and when it departs from a policy of reassurance to assert military muscle.
My position then was contrary to those who argued that China’s rise might recreate a tributary system-like regional order in East Asia — a benign version of the Monroe Doctrine, with lesser neighbours voluntarily ‘bandwagoning’ to growing Chinese power.
We are now witnessing a rapid dissipation of China’s ‘soft power’ as a result of the SCS dispute. Southeast Asian countries are also now standing up to China with US help. Though Chinese officials insist that Beijing has no intention of resolving the dispute by force, for China’s neighbours (especially Vietnam and the Philippines) China’s actions speak louder than its words. Faced with this predicament, senior Chinese political leaders should issue statements to clarify China’s intentions and policy. The task should not be left to media outlets controlled by the military, or to Chinese ‘think tank’ experts, who are often not credible to outsiders.
China does have a point when it says that since not all ASEAN member states are party to the territorial disputes in the SCS, ASEAN as a whole should not be involved as an interlocutor with China on the dispute.
But this point is valid only in so far as the issue of competing territorial claims, or even joint development, is concerned. China should indeed get serious in initiating meaningful bilateral talks with the other claimants over joint development and addressing territorial issues, as it has done with most of its neighbours with the exception of India over land borders.
But bilateralism alone will not suffice. China should remember that ASEAN — or the closely-related East Asia Summit — has the responsibility of reducing tensions and addressing threats to regional stability as a whole, and nothing challenges regional stability more at this point than the SCS dispute.
China should be willing to discuss tensions over the SCS with ASEAN with an eye to reducing tensions. An immediate meeting between China and ASEAN member states at the foreign ministers’ level would be timely and helpful in restoring China’s rapidly eroding ‘soft power’. China cannot impose a Monroe Doctrine in the region. Immediate bilateral talks with Vietnam and the Philippines and multilateral dialogue with ASEAN will dispel the perception that it is trying to do so.

This article originally appeared (in a slightly different form) in the Straits Times, 20 June 2011

Sunday, May 15, 2011

The Cairo connection

TOP ARTICLE


Many people wonder if the crisis in Egypt, leading to Hosni Mubarak's resignation on February 11, might spur similar popular upheaval for regime change in Asia. Asia has no shortage of potential candidates, including the biggest of them all: China. Then there are also Vietnam,
Burma and North Korea.

In East Asia, one finds many recent assertions of 'people's power' that one saw in the streets of Cairo: the
Philippines in 1986 and 2001 when surging crowds ousted presidents Marcos and Estrada respectively, and Thailand in 2008, when protests ended the remnant of the Thaksin Shinawatra regime. But the situation in Asia is quite different. Asia has already seen more transitions to democracy than the Middle East. Although many Asian countries are not paragons of liberal democracy, outright dictatorships in the region have fallen in number relative to the past and to democratic or semi-democratic governments.

At 30 years, the Mubarak regime held power far longer than any regime in Asia under the same leader. The leader's persona matters, as change of the top leader may mitigate popular anger even if the regime remains in place.
China and Vietnam have replaced their top leadership before they became lightning rods for popular anger. Indonesia's Suharto might have averted catastrophe for himself and his nation by following a similar path before it was too late, as Malaysia's Mahathir did a few years later. In Singapore, the ruling People's Action Party regularly replenishes its top leader, even Lee Kuan Yew, despite his high popularity.

Another obvious difference is that authoritarian governments in Asia, with the exception of Burma and North Korea, enjoy an impressive economic record. Although claims that authoritarianism promotes economic growth are highly spurious, there is less doubt that growth prolongs authoritarian rule. And economic downturns can bring about regime change, as happened to Indonesia's Suharto.

Egypt's economic performance under Mubarak has been highly uneven, compounded by corruption and rising inequities.
Egypt demonstrates what democratic transition scholars have called democratisation's "snowballing effect". After being ignited by the Ben Ali regime's fall in Tunisia, unrest in Egypt threatens to spread to other countries. Jordan and the Gulf states, Saudi Arabia included, are understandably nervous. But such snowballing has rarely happened in Asia. A few years ago, democratic change in Indonesia spurred 'reformasi' in Malaysia. But its effect was limited.

Until his unceremonious exit, Mubarak was a model US ally. He played closely by the script written in Washington, maintaining peace with
Israel, and fighting the war on terror, in return for $1.5 billion in annual US aid, much of it to support the military. Yet, the Obama administration, after an initial moment of confusion - perhaps underestimating the force of popular sentiment in Cairo - moved quickly and decisively to distance itself from Mubarak as protests mounted. In the end, it chose to side with the protesters. One lesson that America's Asian allies might draw is what it means to be a close US ally. This could be a real worry for pro-US authoritarian regimes in Asia: when the chips are down, they might be abandoned despite a record of steadfast loyalty.

Perhaps they need not worry too much. The Obama administration's response to Egypt does not have anything that might remotely suggest that the US will adopt a more vigorous policy of democracy promotion in Asia. The Economist magazine asks whether events in Egypt and the Arab world might vindicate George W Bush's policy of seeking regime change in
Iraq and promoting democracy in the Middle East. The answer has to be a clear no. Bush wanted to impose regime change from above, the Egyptian case is regime change from below. Bush's real motive was not democracy but revenge.

The crisis in Egypt is also a reminder of the debate over the impact of democratisation for conflict and violence. By Asian standards, the revolution in Egypt has been relatively peaceful thus far. According to
Amnesty International, perhaps 1,000 people died in the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989 in Beijing (the Chinese Red Cross estimates double that figure). Indonesia's democratic transition might have claimed 19,000 lives in various forms of violence, including communal strife, and secessionist conflicts in East Timor and Aceh.

The issue is not just what Egypt means for East Asia, but also what
East Asia means for Egypt. In South Korea and Indonesia, Asia does seem to provide models for Egypt to achieve stability through the democratic path. Indonesia is a more relevant model. Like Egypt, it is a large Muslim nation and home to extremist groups like Jemaah Islamiyah that is more shadowy and violent than Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood. While South Korea's democratic transition came with robust economic growth, Indonesia's took place on the throes of a severe economic downturn. The accompanying malaise of impoverishment, corruption and lack of accountability is similar to Egypt's predicament.

A major difference is that the Egyptian military is far more entrenched in special privileges - fostered by US aid - than its Indonesian counterpart in Suharto's heydays. But it is possible to imagine an Indonesian-style democratisation in Egypt that progressively reduces the military's role and encourages multiparty electoral democracy.

The writer is professor of international relations,
American University, Washington DC.

The “Most Important Relationship” in the World? Forget It

Amitav Acharya

Published in:
The Jakarta Globe, January 25, 2011
East Asia Forum, January 25, 2011
The Mark, January 25, 2011
Times of India (Crest Edition): February 5, 2011



 
No one should be disappointed by the outcome of the US-China summit in Washington on 19th January, because nothing much was expected from it. For Hu, it was a ‘legacy’ visit, his swansong as the head of the world’s most populous and potentially most powerful nation before stepping down as the leader of the Communist Party of China in 2012. The Obama White House obliged by allowing him to make the first state visit to the White House by a Chinese leader since Jiang Jemin in 1997.

This too is not surprising. During the past year China’s image and soft power has taken a battering, especially in the Asia Pacific, where it rekindled mistrust by asserting claims over South China Sea, refusing to condemn North Korea for its aggressive tactics towards the South and restricting exports of rare earth elements. The US has gained considerable mileage out of these Chinese missteps, despite the Chinese snub to Obama at the Copenhagen climate talks in December 2009, and Beijing’s harsh condemnation of the $6.4 billion US arms sale to Taiwan and the Dalai Lama visit to the White House. As fears of China are rekindled in Asia by Beijing’s own assertiveness, there is a new recognition of America’s role there as the provider of security. The Obama administration could thus afford to look generous and reward China for taking some conciliatory steps in the months leading to the Hu visit- like letting its currency appreciate a bit, and allowing a visit to China by Defense Secretary Robert Gates.


But for those who see the US and China as leaders of the 21st century global order, the summit holds an important lesson: while the unipolar moment international relations is over, it will not be replaced by a China-US duopoly, at least an effective one, that addresses the global challenges of our time.

No one can deny the power shift, although the US President did try. At their joint press conference, Obama told the visitor (and more to the American people perhaps): “we have to remind ourselves is that the United States’ economy is still three times larger than China’s despite having one-quarter of the population.” But just over a decade ago, in 2001, the US economy was more than 7 times larger than China’s.

To be sure, the US-China relationship is often touted as the most important relationship for the future of the world. But the Hu visit made two things very clear. First, America’s domestic politics would prevent the two sides from developing the trust needed for effective cooperation. Second, issues in the bilateral relationship take priority over tending to the problems of the world at large.

Even as the White House prepared to welcome Hu at the White House, across the Mall the Congress fumed by holding a hearing on human rights in China, blaming it for the largest number of political prisoners in the world (allegedly ‘millions’). The newly anointed speaker of the House of Representatives, John Boehner, refused the invitation to the White House dinner. And in an (unintended) show of bipartisanship that has all but vanished these days, Senate Majority leader Harry Reid called Hu a ‘dictator’ from his native Nevada.

The thrust of the entire visit has been on bilateral issues, America’s trade deficit, China’s currency manipulations and of course, China’s abysmal human rights record. Hu seemed more conciliatory than usual on human rights, keeping in mind his visit to Congress later (today). After initially avoiding a question on the subject (by citing a translation glitch) at his joint press conference with Obama, Hu replied to a follow-up that “China is always committed to the protection and promotion of human rights”, citing the “enormous progress, recognized widely in the world” it has made over the issue. But he also asked “to take into account the different and national circumstances when it comes to the universal value of human rights.”  The joint statement noted “significant differences” over the issue, especially the Chinese insistence that “there should be no interference in any country's internal affairs.”

East Asia Forum

Over global governance issues, Hu mentioned at the Press conference China’s support for the G20 to play “a bigger role in international economic and financial affairs,” and to “work with the United States and other countries to effectively address global challenges” such as climate change and terrorism.

By all indications, the United States is coming to terms with the end of its G-1 world, although it is still impolite to mention the ‘D” word (decline) in Washington. While Secretary of State Hillary Clinton did talk about “the new American moment” in international affairs, it was a call for sharing the burden with others, including emerging powers (China being one but not the only one) of them. It also called for working through global and regional institutions to advance American interests.

When the United States replaced Britain as the global hegemon after the end of World War II, it was not shy of accepting international obligations and making sacrifices. Why is not China following the US path to global leadership, albeit a shared on with the US?

When the US under the Bush administration was riding high in the unipolar moment, China was [secretly) thrilled to be counted as the main challenger to US dominance. Many Chinese still do, but being a challenger is not the same as being a leader.

Some blame it on Deng Xiaoping, China’s late paramount leader, who is supposed to have warned against China becoming a leader in the world. But this is an urban myth. Deng was more nuanced and qualified, and China today is far more powerful than during Deng’s time. The Chinese are scared of global leadership because they it see it as a ploy to force them into prematurely accepting responsibilities that will undercut their ‘peaceful rise’. And the Chinese have dismissed the idea of a joint leadership with the United States, not because they do not relish the status that comes with it, but because it calls for sacrifices that they are unwilling to make, like accepting significant binding cuts in their carbon emissions.

If the burden of domestic politics and bilateral mistrust limits the ability of the United States and China to jointly manage global issues, it leaves room for others, India, Europe, Canada and other G-20 nations, to step in and have their say.  For them, this may be the good news from the US-China Summit.

(The author is Professor of International Relations at American University, Washington, D.C. and a Senior fellow of the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada)




Friday, November 26, 2010

East Asia: A New Balancing Game?

East Asia: A New Balancing Game?


Amitav Acharya


If media reports and reviews by pundits are to be believed, a new balancing game is in full swing in Asia. Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh completed a week-long visit around the region, covering Japan, Malaysia and Vietnam, attending the East Asia Summit (EAS) in Hanoi on October 30th. Ostensibly highlighting India’s “Look East” Policy, Singh’s trip was nonetheless read by many as a sign of Delhi’s balancing policy towards China. Beginning 27th October, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton embarked on a seven-country, two-week “circle the Pacific” tour, covering Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand and Australia, with a brief stopover in China’s Hainan island. The occasion of her visit was also the EAS, to which the US (along with Russia) had been invited for the first time. And on 7 November, President Obama himself joined in, with a visit to India, Indonesia, South Korea and Japan.

For the Chinese media, these may as well be called the “encirclement” policy. An editorial in People’s Daily, asked,: “Does India’s ‘Look East’ Policy Mean ‘Look to Encircle China’?” And writing in the Newsweek Magazine on November 9th, Denis Macshane, a former British Foreign Office official, found “Washington playing balance-of-power politics” in Asia.

Indeed, the very decision to invite the US, Russia, Australian and India to what had originally been conceived as an East Asian only (i.e. East Asia without Caucasians or Indians) Summit was made by the ASEAN countries in order to avoid a Chinese dominance of the EAS.

To be sure, the participation of the US in the EAS was already foreordained since it acceded to ASEAN’s Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in 2009. India’s “Look East” policy is at least a decade old and would have been inconceivable without its growing economic dynamism. The timing of Obama’s Asia visit had more to do with his domestic travails than his foreign policy challenges. While preventing Chinese dominance over regional bodies is a clear goal of China’s neighbours, it does not justify viewing the expanded membership of the EAS primarily as a balancing game.

But what gives the recent visits by Indian and US officials a special significance is the growing misgiving in the region about China’s recent behaviour, including its declaration of the South China Sea as a “core interest”, its harsh criticism of Japan over its arrest of a Chinese fisherman near the disputed Senkau/Daiyutai islands, and its summary dismissal of any US role in these regional disputes. To many in Washington at least, China’s “charm offensive” and “soft power” diplomacy has now given way to “Chinese assertiveness”, or even big power bullying.

This may be overstating the case. Chinese started participating in multilateral institutions in Asia in the 1990s to counter the talk around the region of a “China threat”. The truth (now as it was then) is that China cannot exclude the US from regional bodies, or having a say over regional matters, since no country in the region, Japan, South Korea, and ASEAN members included, would accept it. Such a strategy is sure to backfire by drawing its neighbours, including ASEAN, tighter around the US. China can try to divide and rule ASEAN, by prevailing upon some members to accept its line on regional issues. But even Burma and Cambodia (one of the countries visited by Clinton), despite the large sums they receive from China, are unlikely to place all their eggs in the Chinese basket.

So if China thought it can get away by talking (if not acting) tough and trying to keep America out of regional matters, it has badly miscalculated. The diplomatic gains China might have made over the past decade through its “charm offensive” now risk quickly dissipating, unless Beijing shows more maturity and restraint. Moreover, China will do well to realize that interdependence means its actions in one part of Asia will reverberate in other parts. So how it deals with Japan over the East China Sea islands would matter to ASEAN. Similarly, acting tough with ASEAN over the South China Sea islands will matter to all countries.

But a big mystery in all this is this: who is calling the shots in China's policy towards its neighbours? Outsiders generally think of China as a communist monolith. But China is increasingly complex, as most countries undergoing rapid economic change tend to be. One explanation for Beijing’s recent assertiveness is that China’s sudden global prominence in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis has gone into its head or at least caused policy confusion about how to “lead”. Another is that there is a growing rift between the military and the civilian leadership over issues of critical foreign policy issues. Few years ago, a senior PLA official had told this author that it was not happy about Beijing’s apparent “concession” by agreeing with ASEAN on a Declaration on the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea. The Foreign Ministry, which is most supportive of regional cooperation, now seems to have been sidelined. And if the PLA is unhappy, the communist party has to show understanding at a time of transition to a new leadership.

(The author is Professor of international relations at American University, Washington, D.C. and Chair of its ASEAN Studies Center. He is also a Senior Fellow of the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada).
This article appeared in Canada-Asia Viewpoints, Nov 12, 2010
http://76.74.246.164/editorials/canada-asia-viewpoints/editorials/east-asia-new-balancing-game

Sunday, November 21, 2010

Amitav Acharya, "Asia is Not One"

The November 2010 issue of Journal of Asian Studies "opens with a wide-ranging exchange that explores competing visions of the interconnections among Asian countries and the meaning of “Asia” as a region."

Amitav Acharya, "Asia is Not One," Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 69, No. 4 (November) 2010: 1001–1013.


ASIA IS NOT “one,” and there is no singular idea of Asia. Asia is of multiple (although not always mutually exclusive) conceptions, some drawing on material forces, such as economic growth, interdependence, and physical power, and others having ideational foundations, such as civilizational linkages and normative aspirations. Some of these varied conceptions of Asia have shaped in meaningful ways the destinies of its states and peoples. Moreover, they have underpinned different forms of regionalism, which, in turn, has ensured that Asia, despite its fuzziness and incoherence, has remained a durable, if essentially contested, notion.....

Other contributions to the debate are:

Asia Redux: Conceptualizing a Region for Our Times false
Prasenjit Duara

The Idea of Asia and Its Ambiguities false
Wang Hui

The Intricacies of Premodern Asian Connections false
Tansen Sen

Response to Prasenjit Duara, “Asia Redux” false
Barbara Watson Andaya

No gears shifting. false
Rudolf Mrázek

Response to Comments on “Asia Redux” false
Prasenjit Duara

Debating Asia's Meaning: A Journal of Asian Studies Symposium

This issue of JAS "opens with a wide-ranging exchange that explores competing visions of the interconnections among Asian countries and the meaning of “Asia” as a region." Below is the essay by Amitav Acharya, "Asia is Not One", Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 69, No. 4 (November) 2010: 1001–1013.

 


Asia Is Not One:
Regionalism and the Ideas of Asia

Amitav Acharya

Asia is not “one”, as Okakura Kazuo (1904) had once argued, and there is no singular idea of Asia. Asia is of multiple (although not always mutually exclusive) conceptions, some drawing upon material forces, such as economic growth, interdependence and physical power, others having ideational foundations, such as civilizational linkages and normative aspirations. Some of these varied conceptions of Asia have shaped in meaningful ways the destinies of its states and peoples. Moreover, they have underpinned different forms of  regionalism, which in turn has ensured that Asia, despite its fuzziness and incoherence, has remained a durable if essentially contested notion.
Before proceeding further, let me briefly comment on the concepts of region, regionalization and regionalism, the three central pillars of any meaningful discussion of the contemporary idea of Asia.[1] First, our understanding of what makes a region has undergone a major change. There is a growing agreement in the literature that: (1) regions are not just material constructs but also ideational ones; (2) regions are not a given or fixed, but are socially constructed- they are made and remade through political, economic social and cultural interactions; and (3) just like nations states, regions may rise and wither.[2]
In his discussion of the pre-World War II period, Duara sets “imperial regionalism” against the “anti-imperialist regionalization project in Asia”. While I agree, I also believe that the anti-imperialist project, which persisted well into the post-war period, was not singular as a source of Asianness and Asianism. The trajectory of Asian regionalism had varied underpinnings which need to be recognized. While Duara focuses on Tagore, Tenshin and Zhang Taiyan, I bring in Aung San, Ho Chih Minh, and Jose Rizal. The richness and diversity of the Asian idea cannot be fully captured without looking at these Southeast Asian proponents, for it was in Southeast Asia that Asian regionalism took its most decisive shape.

Contested Visions

While “Asia” has not lacked protagonists for the past century and half, these protagonists have differed widely in terms of their normative beliefs and political goals. Looking at the champions of Asia and their ideas, at least four different conceptions of Asia can be identified in the early post Second World War period. These may be termed as Imperialist Asia, Nationalist Asia, Universalist Asia, and Regionalist Asia. A fifth conception, Exceptionalist Asia, though already incipient, was would emerge later as a major political force later.
These categories are not mutually exclusive. Moreover, elements and impulses within these categories may be present to different degrees in a single proponent of Asia. Thus, while Jawaharlal Nehru of India belonged primarily to Nationalist Asia, he also identified with Universalist Asia (or at least an internationalist) and Regionalist Asia. Moreover, these impulses can shift during the course of a political career, and a lifetime.
The first conception, Imperialist Asia (similar to Duara’s “imperial regionalism”), is tied to the hegemonic purpose of great powers, both Western and Asian. While the term Asia did not originate with it, Western colonial rule, even though it severely disrupted existing intra-regional commercial traffic, and helped to divide Asia into different spheres of influence, did contribute to the reification of the concept, thereby furthering the cultural and political dichotomy that had developed between Europe and Asia through the centuries, well before the “consciousness of an Asian identity originated [within Asia] largely in reaction to the colonial system and in the common denominator of anti-Western sentiment.” (Steadman 1969: 32-3),
But it was in the hands of an Asian power, Japan, that the imperialist notion of Asia assumed a peculiar prominence, as imperial Japan and its apologists sought to invoke a discourse of pan-Asianism to legitimize its dominance in a way that Western powers in the region had not and other Asian powers such as China and India would not. The dual role of Japan as Asia’s savior and its hegemonic leader was clearly illustrated in the Japanese notion of a Greater East Asia Co-prosperity Sphere. Encompassing Japan (including the territories of Korea, Taiwan, and Sakhalin), China, Manchukuo, French Indochina, and the Dutch East Indies, this was of course not all of Asia, but the “the concept built on Pan-Asian notions of an “Asian community” that had earlier developed in Japan, and which would be extended to Southeast Asian and South Asian if not on the basis of race, then on the basis of a “common interest”. (Duus, 2008: 146-7) Indeed, representatives from all over Asia were invited to the Greater East Asia Conference held in November 1943 (Duus, 2008: 151-2)
Although it was but one element among Japanese pan-Asianism, it had the most serious impact on the destinies of Asian states and the lives of their peoples. This was a concept of hegemonic region and regionalism. While it offered a platform for organizing the unity of those incorporated into it, it was not always on a voluntary basis, but coerced. The Japanese Imperialist Region was marked by a high degree of trade interdependence, and it certainly inspired freedom struggles all over Asia. But in political terms, it degenerated into another form of foreign dominance, no less oppressive than that of the Western colonial powers. Burma’s Aung San, who had earlier endorsed the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere, and even envisioned “a common defence policy in East Asia as the best guarantee for the maintenance of the Greater East Asia Co-prosperity Sphere” (Silverstein, 1972: 21), now insisted that “a new Asian order…will not and must not be one like the Co-prosperity Sphere of militarist Japan, nor should it be another Asiatic Monroe doctrine, nor imperial preference or currency bloc.” (Silverstein, 1972: 101)
The legacy of Imperialist Asia would have a long-term effect, shaping regional perceptions of the superpower rivalry during the Cold War. The Southeast Asian Treaty Organization, although not outrightly imperial, was perceived as an attempt at neo-colonial domination by some sections in Asia, including India’s Nehru and Indonesia’s Sukarno. It did not last very long, but helped to polarize Asia along the Cold War divide, probably disrupting the socialization of China (along with other issues, including the Korean War, Taiwan issue and China’s own support for communist movements in the region).
Even before Japanese imperialism swept through Asia, there had emerged another conception of Asia that may be termed Universalist Asia. Its most eloquent proponent was Rabindranath Tagore, who combined a visceral distaste for nationalism with a passionate belief in the “common bond of spiritualism” among Asia’s peoples. (Tagore 1918) Although Tagore did not specifically advocate a political regionalism of states, this might have been premature given that Asia was still firmly under colonial rule, his recognition and intellectual promotion of the spiritual and civilizational affinities among Asia’s peoples constituted an alternative conception of Asian regionalism in which societies rather than states take the centre stage and which thrives as much as on ideational and cultural flows as on economic links or political purpose. Tagore was not alone in articulating a conception of Asia that was not premised on a narrow state-centric nationalism; Karl has analyzed an alternative form of regionalism, much more politically oriented that Tagore’s, among Chinese intellectuals “rooted in non-state centered practices and non-national-chauvinist culturalism”, that could be contrasted with Sun Yat-sen’s “state-based, anti-imperialist vision of Asia.” (Karl 1998:1096-97) This alternative regionalism that Karl speaks of was centered around the ideas and associates of Chinese intellectual Liang Qichao, and the activities of a little known organization called the Asian Solidarity Society set up in Tokyo in 1907 by Chinese intellectuals, Japanese socialists, and Indian, Vietnamese and Filippino exiles.  An interesting aspect of this regionalism was the recognition accorded to the “first Filipino” Jose Rizal as “the quintessential Asian patriot, from which China and other Asian must learn”. (Karl 1998: 1106) Although Rizal is better known as a champion of the unity of the Malay race, his message was appropriated by the non-state centric variety of Asian regionalism.
Tagore’s innate universalism put him at odds with the powerful currents of nationalism sweeping Asia, including in the very places the poet visited in his voyages through Asia, and which he imagined as being integral to his conception of Asia. This is not to say that the proponents of a third conception of Asia, which I call Nationalist Asia, were untouched by universalist values and instincts. Leaders such as Nehru, Aung San, and Sukarno saw little contradiction between nationalism and international cooperation. As Aung San put it, “I recognise both the virtues and limitations of pure nationalism, I love its virtues, I don’t allow myself to be blinded by its limitations, though I knew that it is not easy for the great majority of any nation to get over these limitations.”(Aung San 1974: 193) Aung San’s nationalism, like those of Nehru and Sukarno, could support both nationalism and internationalism, but these figures from Asia’s new power elite did not empathize with Universalist Asia at the expense of nationalism.
This third vision of Asia, championed by Asia’s nationalist leaders such as China’s Sun Yat-sen, India’s Jawaharlal Nehru, Burma’s Aung San, and Vietnam’s Ho Chih Minh, was geared to harnessing Asia’s rejuvenation to further the retreat of Western colonialism. Before World War II, especially around the time of the 1927 Congress of the Oppressed Nationalities, a number of leaders within the Indian National Congress (a group that was believed to include Mohandas Gandhi and C.R Das and later Nehru) had supported the idea of an “Asian federation” to organize joint struggle against Western colonialism. (Keenleyside 1982: 216) Regionalism in this sense was not only compatible with, but also a bulwark for, Asia’s restoration and rejuvenation. (Acharya, 2000) Certainly Ho Chi Minh was keen to use regional cooperation to further the cause of Vietnamese independence. (Goscha, 1999: 244) In a speech to welcome Sarat Chandra Bose, brother of Subhas Chandra Bose at the City Hall of Rangoon on July 24, 1946, Aung San stated that Burma would “stand for an Asiatic Federation in a not very, very remote future, we stand for immediate mutual understanding and joint action, wherever and whenever possible, from now for our mutual interests and for the freedom of India, Burma and indeed all Asia.” (Aung San 1971:86) In September 1945, Ho Chi Minh spoke of his interest in the creation of a “pan-Asiatic community” comprising Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, Malaya, Burma, India, Indonesia, and the Philippines. (China, Japan, and Korea were not included in Ho’s vision of an Asiatic community). (Goscha, 1999: 244) His ostensible goal at this stage was to foster political and economic cooperation among these countries while maintaining good relations with the US, France, and Britain. This was a time when Ho still hoped that the colonial powers, exhausted by war, would voluntarily speed up the process of decolonization. But when this proved to be a false hope, Ho and other Southeast Asian nationalist leaders began considering the use of regional cooperation to oppose the return of European colonialism. This was clearly evident in Ho’s letter to the Indonesian Prime Minister, Sutan Sjahrir, in November 1946 urging cooperation between the two countries to advance their common struggle for freedom. In this letter, Ho asked Indonesia to join him in getting India, Burma, and Malaya to develop initiatives toward a “Federation of Free Peoples of Southern Asia.” But Indonesian leaders responded coolly to this idea, apparently worried that cooperating with the Vietnamese communists would give the Dutch an opportunity to use the fear of communism to delay Indonesia’s own independence.
Advancing decolonization was a principal theme at the 1947 Asian Relations Conference in New Delhi, the first conference of Asian nations in the post-war period. It was even more central to the Second Asian Relations Conference, also known as the Conference on Indonesia, which was directly and specifically geared to supporting Indonesian freedom fighters after the 2nd Dutch Police Action in 1948. Yet, despite all the talk about pan-Asian unity, its proponents were willing to offer only political, rather than material support for the region’s independence movements. For example, India’s aid to Indonesian freedom fighters, an exception, was not extended to Ho Chih Minh, much to the disappointment of his supporters.
And these early stirrings of pan-Asianism did not translate into concrete and durable forms of cooperation or a pan-Asian institution. There was an uncomfortable sense among the smaller nations of Asia that the pan-Asianists of India, Japan and China “were primarily concerned with their own countries,” and their “exhortations… largely as an extension of their own distinctive cultures.” (Steadman, 1969, 33) Moreover, Southeast Asians saw in a pan-Asian community potential for Chinese or Indian domination. As one Burmese delegate to the 1947 Asian Relations Conference put it, “It was terrible to be ruled by a Western power, but it was even more so to be ruled by an Asian power.” (Cited in Henderson 1955) And the pan-Asian sentiments of India’s leaders were stymied by their limited contacts with nationalist leaders in other parts of Asia, their misgivings towards the Nationalist government in China, and the rise of anti-Indian sentiments in Burma and other parts of Asia (Keenleyside 1982)
While Nationalist Asia sought to channel regionalism as an instrument of anti-colonialism and national liberation, the fourth vision, Regionalist Asia, inspired those who wished to use the combined platform of the region’s newly independent nation states to seek a collective voice at the world stage. There were considerable overlap between Nationalist and Regionalist Asia, with Nehru, Aung San, Ho Chih Minh belonging to both. But the regionalists (or the regionalist side of the nationalists) went a step beyond merely securing independence from colonial rule. The logical next step to follow in the pursuit of Asianism was to seek a role in the management of regional and international affairs. As Aung San of Burma put it, “Asia has been rejuvenated and is progressively coming into world politics. Asia can no longer be ignored in international councils. Its voice grows louder and louder. You can hear it in Indonesia, you can hear it in Indo-China, you can harken to it in Burma and India and elsewhere.” (Silverstein, 1972: 101). One major example of this shift was the differences in the agendas of the Asian Relations Conferences of 1947 and 1949, and that of the Asia-Africa Conference in 1955, which, despite its hybrid name, was thoroughly dominated by the Asians. While the ARC’s fretted over support for decolonization, the 29 participants at Bandung, as its Secretary-General would put it, set out “to determine…the standards and procedures of present-day international relations,” including  “the formulation and establishment of certain norms for the conduct of present-day international relations and the instruments for the practical application of these norms.” (Abdulghani 1964: 72 &103) In other words, while the ARCs were about independence (from colonial rule), Bandung was about intervention (security from great power or superpower intervention).
The regionalists also saw the possibility of restoring the historical linkages among Asian societies disrupted by European colonialism to forge a regional association. Nehru described the first Asian Relations Conference in New Delhi as an “expression of the deeper urge of the mind and spirit of Asia which has persisted in spite of the isolationism which grew up during the years of European domination” (Nehru, 1948:23). We have seen Ho Chih Minh’s interest in a “Pan-Asiatic Community”. Immediately after the World War II, Nehru himself would advocate a regional association: “a closer union between India and South-East Asia on the one side, and Afghanistan, Iran, and the Arab world on the West.” (Cited in Keenleyside 1982:216-7).
But Southeast Asians were unnerved by the prospects for a larger Asian federation or even association.  Even professing deep friendship with India, Aung San recognized that “(w)hile India should be one entity and China another, Southeast Asia as a whole should form an entity – then, finally, we should come together in a bigger union with the participation of other parts of Asia as well.”(Cited in Vandenbosch and Butwell, 1966: 341) Southeast Asian would find subregional unity more practical and palatable. Bear in mind that Jose Rizal had advocated the unity of the Malay race, although he was appropriated by pan-Asianists. Frustrated by the failure of his efforts to secure material aid from fellow Asian countries for his struggle against the French, Ho Chi Minh would turn to the idea of an Indochinese federation. “Because of the close geography and extricable relationship in military and politics between Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia, the success or failure of revolutionary liberation of one country will have a direct impact on that of the others. Our task is to help the revolutionary movements in Cambodia and Laos. (Ho 1995: 82)
This Southeast Asian concern was evident at the 1947 Asian Relations Conference. Abu Hanifa, one of the Indonesian representatives to the Conference, would write later that the idea of a wholly Southeast Asian grouping was conceived at the conference in response to the belief among the Southeast Asian delegates that the larger states, India and China, could not be expected to support their nationalist cause. At the meeting, delegates from Indonesia, Burma, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Malaya “debated, talked, [and] planned a Southeast Asian Association closely cooperating first in cultural and economic matters. Later, there could be perhaps be a more closely knit political cooperation. Some of us even dreamt of a Greater Southeast Asia, a federation.” (Goscha, 1999:255)
But the legacy of Nationalist Asia was too strong and enduring to permit any quick and easy fulfillment of these early efforts at Regionalist Asia, even at the subregional level. These efforts were at best intended to strengthen, not weaken the autonomy of the nation state. ASEAN, as Singapore’s Foreign Minister S. Rajaratnam would put it, was intended to serve and strengthen the national interest, not to dilute or compromise it.

Asia Between Universalism and Exceptionalism

We have seen that the different conceptions of Asia gave rise to different regionalisms in the early post-War period. As Regionalist Asia continued to compete with Nationalist Asia for the support of Asia’s new political elite, there would emerge a fifth conception of Asia, which might be termed Exceptionalist Asia.
In the 1960s, post-Bandung, Southeast Asia took the lead in developing regionalism. The leadership of India and China had ended - India’s because of internal distractions, rivalry with Pakistan, ironically a member of the Colombo Powers fraternity which had collectively sponsored the Bandung gathering, and China’s because its violation of its own pledge of noninterference given at the Bandung (one of the 10 principles of the Bandung Declaration). Most important, the Sino-Indian war undermined the claims of both to jointly lead Asia. In the meantime, Japan remained mired in the legacy of its imperial record, hesitant to launch new regional initiatives, especially with a political and security purpose. Southeast Asia itself was itself divided and prone to conflict, both domestic and inter-state (especially with Sukarno’s Konfrontasi against newly formed Malaysia. Its first attempt to create a regional body, ASA, founded in 1960, failed because it did not include Southeast Asia’s biggest player, Indonesia. A second body, Maphilindo, (Malaysia, Philippines and Indonesia), premised on the notion of the unity of the Malay race, and thus recalling Jose Rizal’s identification of Philippines as a Malay nation, also collapsed over escalating tensions between Indonesia and Malaysia, as Sukarno called into question, with the military force, the legitimacy of the Malaysian federation.
Yet, even the subregional efforts were held by an underlying conception of Asianness. Thus despite being an association of Southeast Asia, ASA’s proponents saw themselves as part of a larger Asian cultural, political, and economic context. For Thai Foreign Minister and a key architect of ASA, Thanat Khoman, ASA was rooted in “Asian culture and traditions” (sic). Describing ASA as an example of “Asian mutual co-operation”, he argued: “For Asian solidarity must be and will be forged by Asian hands and the fact that our three countries: the Federation of Malaya, the Philippines, and Thailand, have joined hands in accomplishing this far-reaching task cannot be a mere coincidence.”(Association of Southeast Asia, 1962:33)
After these false starts, one segment of Southeast Asia, comprising Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Singapore, finally held together to create Asia’s first viable multipurpose regional organization: ASEAN. But even by then a more powerful force, of regionalization in the sense defined above was to emerge in parallel with Southeast Asia’s search for unity and identity. This was the idea of a Pacific (later Asia-Pacific) community. Proposed by Japanese and Australian academics, and driven by the high economic growth and interdependence among the industrial economies of the Pacific Rim, the idea of a Pacific Community finally gave Japan a platform to enter the fray of Regionalist Asian, albeit at first through epistemic communities and semiofficial groupings like Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC, founded 1967), Pacific Trade and Development Conference (PAFTAD, 1968) and Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC, 1980). But initially this was an Asia-Pacific construct, not Asia. Key roles in developing it belonged to individuals, think-tanks and governments, not just from Japan, but from outside Asia, especially from Australia and the US. But the Pacific Community idea gradually morphed into the Asia-Pacific (or Asia Pacific) idea, largely due to the need to involve ASEAN members who were deeply suspicious of the project as a move to marginalise the developing nations, and with an eye to China’s future incorporation. ASEAN’s consent and endorsement was necessary to make it work.
The Asia-Pacific idea would in 1989 lead to the first region wide inter-governmental institution (outside the ESCAP and ADB), Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation. Its purpose was not to develop a EU like supranational body. But neither was it geared to, a la, Nationalist Asia, anticolonial, or anti-western objectives. By now, those objectives had receded into the historical background. The new agenda of regionalism was interdependence, not independence. The driver was not anticolonial sentiments, but the quest for growth and dynamism. Although no direct evidence can be provided linking regionalism of the Pacific or Asia-Pacific variety with the region’s economic growth (it would be the other way around), there was little question that the idea behind it reflected economic performance and optimism for the future. Moreover, what started as a effort defined mainly in Pacific terms became one in which the Asian element would grow to be the more prominent one.
While Regionalist Asia persisted, it was joined by a somewhat newer vision of Asia, a fifth vision which may be termed Exceptionalist Asia. It was the product of the phenomenal economic growth enjoyed by some of Asia’s economies. Claims about Asia’s distinctiveness were always around, but they were largely the product of Western Orientalism, which imagined Asia to be exotic, romantic, and subservient. A new form of exceptionalism, constructed by Asia’s own power elite, came in to the fore in the 1990s, grounded in claims and assertions about how Asian culture might underpin its economic success. Proponents of Exceptionalist Asia were of course not averse to globalization. They actually thrived on its economic benefits, although uncomfortable with its political aspects, especially the spread of human rights and democracy. The term Asian values emerged in the 1990s in parallel with the high growth of East Asian economies, such as Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore. This led some commentators, such as Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew, to associate economic performance with cultural traits and habit. While Lee initially spoke of Confucian values, it latter morphed into Asian Values. The list of Asian values varies, but generally includes hard work, thrift (high savings rate), emphasis on education, consensus, rejection of extreme individualism, national teamwork, and respect for authority. The term acquired a political connotation when critics viewed some elements of it, such as respect for authority, as a justification for authoritarian rule. (Sen, 1997; The Economist, 28 May 1994, pp.13-14)  Critics argued that what passed as Asian values was in no way special or unique to Asian societies, and that the sheer political and cultural diversity of Asia could permit no such generalization about a set of commonly-held values across the region.  How can one speak of a coherent set of values that can be uniquely “Asian”, and ignore the differences between Confucian, Muslim and Hindu cultural norms. The Asian financial crisis of 1997 dealt a blow to the Asian Values concept, when its proponents, Lee Kuan Yew included, admitted that there could be “bad” Asian values, such as corruption and lack of transparency and accountability.
Coinciding with the emergence of Exceptionalist Asia, and partly deriving from it, a new form of regionalism challenged the hitherto Asia-Pacific movement of “open regionalism”, setting up a contest of sorts between APEC and Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammed’s East Asian Economic Grouping (EAEG, renamed Caucus, EAEC). (Higgott and Stubbs 1995) Following the 1997 Asian crisis, the idea of an East Asian Community gained momentum. Its advocates saw “East Asia as a “crucial and distinctive region in the world”, economically more integrated and politically and culturally more coherent than unwieldy Asia-Pacific forums like ARF and APEC that include the US, Canada and Australia. At 54% of the region’s total trade, compared to 35% in 1980, intra-East Asian trade was higher than that in the NAFTA region (46%), and “very much comparable to intra-regional trade in the European Union before the 1992 Maastricht treaty.” (Kuroda 2005)It is thus East Asia that offers the best hopes for a “bona fide regional community with shared challenges, common aspirations and a parallel destiny” and for the development of a “strong sense of regional identity and…consciousness.” (East Asia Vision Group 2001: 2, 6, 24)
So far, East Asian regionalism has turned out to be less exclusivist than initially anticipated, thanks partly to persisting transpacific trade and security dependence with the US and concern for a rising China dominating such an East Asia-only construct. The inaugural East Asian Summit in 2005 took a functional rather than geographic view of East Asia by giving a seat at the table to India, Australia and New Zealand. Now it seems US and Russia would be be invited as well. But whether the non-East Asians would be assured of equal status within the East Asian Community, or being part of the core group who could drive the community building process, remains to be seen. Should the ‘purist’ (Han 2005:147) view of East Asia prevail, these nations would have good reason to be unhappy over their “second-class” status. And while the broadening of the EAS might have dispelled fears of Chinese dominance, this could engender Chinese disinterest in the summit process. The key challenge for East Asian visionaries and leaders would be to find the balance between Chinese dominance and Chinese disinterest.
In the meantime, echoes of Exceptionalist Asia can be heard in the “Rising Asia” discourse inspired by the massive economic growth, military build-up and attendant political clout of China and to a lesser extent India. While Nationalist Asia spoke of Asia’s emancipation and reemergence from Western dominance, often in spiritual and moral terms, Rising Asia proponents speak to the possibility of Asia displacing the West from its perch of global leadership. How the Asian powers might cooperate to create a common Asian home, much less an Asian powerhouse, remains unclear in the Rising Asia discourse. (Acharya 2010)
The exceptionalists, realizing the region’s sheer dependence on economic globalization, are likely to keep their regionalism relatively open. Moreover, the emerging transnational civil society in Asia seems more firmly wedded to the universalist values of human rights, democracy and increasingly the environment, which could keep under check the exceptionalists’ urge to “Asianize” or truncate these values. Hence, the Asia that we may see in the coming decades may well be shaped by the contestations and compromises between Universalist Asia and Exceptionalist Asia. In the meantime, some fear that before the contest is settled, Imperialist Asia, with support and sustenance from Exceptionalist Asia, especially from within China itself, might take over and fundamentally reshape the Asian order in the 21st century. This will happen if China continues with it relentless rise and imposes a Monroe Doctrine like sphere over its neighbours. The best hope against this would be the strengthening of Regionalist Asia. But as yet, limitations of Regionalist Asia abound. Asian regional institutions are still sovereignty bound, unwilling and unable to undertake any major role in conflict resolution. The doctrine of non-interference still remains sacred. It will take time to change these underpinnings of Nationalist Asia for a truly Regionalist Asia to take over.
To conclude, as a scholar of international relations, I am in general agreement with Duara that a prominent place in the construction of Asia has to be given to regionalism and regionalization. It is heartening to see regionalism and regionalization, which are sometimes thought of as a preserve of political scientists, being viewed as a seriously helpful tool in analyzing the concept of Asia by scholars from other fields in social sciences and humanities. Without regionalism, I argue, there might not even be any idea of Asia for us to talk about. Speaking of the idea of Asia, Rebecca Karl shows that “far from always meaning the same thing or even including the same configurations of peoples and states, it has been mobilized for very different purposes at different times.” (Karl 1998: 1118) Similarly, regionalism in Asia has not been a singular or coherent set of beliefs. Nor has it been an unchanging phenomenon. It has incorporated and contributed to different conceptions of the region in different times, sustaining Asia’s diversity and pointing to alternative futures.

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[1] Duara (2010) distinguishes between “region” and “regionalization”, taking the former to mean “the relatively unplanned or evolutionary emergence of an area of inter-action and inter-dependence,”, and the latter as “the more active, often ideologically-driven political process of creating a region”. While this is a valid distinction, it risks obscuring (although it is subsumed under “regionalization”) the concept and practice of regionalism. Indeed, regionalization and regionalism can be analytically separated. The former is normally understood in the political economy literature as market-driven, as opposed to state-led, advance of transnational economic linkages, including trade, investment and production. Hence a relevant term here is the “regionalization of production” in East Asia, which was spurred by the southward movement of Japanese companies and capital following the reevaluation of the Yen after the Plaza Accord of 1985, thereby bringing South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore and other Southeast Asian countries under the its ambit and creating a de facto economic region of East Asia. (Bernard and Ravenhill 1995) Regionalism, as understood in political science/international relations literature, implies the deliberate act of forging a common platform, including new inter-governmental organizations and transnational civil society networks, to deal with common challenges, realize common objectives and articulate/advance a common identity. While much of this can be subsumed under regionalization in the sense that Duara speaks of, regionalization can proceed in the absence “the more active, often ideologically-driven political process of creating a region”, especially when the latter entails formal regional institutions. Asia was far into the process of economic interdependence and transnational production networks before the first formal intergovernmental regional economic grouping, APEC, was created in 1989. But it is regionalism which brings the notion of Asia alive.
[2] I have argued elsewhere that regions should be understood in terms of: (1) material and ideational: --- regionalist ideas and regional identity that move the study of regions beyond purely materialist understandings; (2) whole and parts--- regional (as opposed to mainly country-specific) perspective based on a marriage between disciplinary and area-studies approaches; (3) past and present--- historical understanding of regions, going beyond contemporary policy issues; (4) inside and outside--- internal construction of regions, stressing the role of local agency, as opposed to external stimuli or the naming of regions by external powers; and (5) permanence and transience--- the fluidity, “porosity” and transience of regions. (Acharya 2011)